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RTYNEGATIVEBEARISH2989.00·ESNEGATIVEBULLISH7610.00·NQNEGATIVEBULLISH29945.00Thursday, July 16, 2026
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Institutional-grade pre-market briefings — dealer gamma regime, AMT opening type, key level map, Greek pressure, and a scored thesis for RTY, ES, NQ and SPX — published before the bell, graded after the close.

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Briefs12
Levels Scored19
Hit Rate74%
2026-07-15 · published 15 Jul 2026 UTCOPEN BRIEF →
RTY
NEGATIVE
RTY's PPI reaction was the weakest of the three families (+0.15% vs ES/NQ's +0.2-0.3%), and session-long DEX/vanna have stayed negative the entire morning without crossing positive - a persistent bearish-leaning Greek signature distinct from SPX/NQ's more constructive builds, reinforcing the user's own excess-high/breakdown read while respecting genuine two-sided rotation risk within the newly-formed lower balance.
BEARISHConf 48%OPEN TEST DRIVE
TODAY · CROSS-ASSET

Three markets, one read.

We scan RTY (index + futures basis), ES and NQ every session. Each gets its own dealer-regime read, thesis, and level map.

THE LOOP

Scan. Brief. Score.

Every call is time-stamped and graded. No retroactive edits. No survivorship bias.

01 · SCAN
Multi-DTE dealer-flow scan.
Full options chain reads across 0/1/2/3/6/7 DTE. Gamma flip, walls, vanna and charm magnets, opening-type classification, IV regime and cross-asset divergence — ground-truthed against the native index, not an ETF proxy.
02 · BRIEF
One page. Pre-open. Signed.
Published before the bell with a dated thesis, confidence band, key discriminator (“watch X → confirms Y”), and a confluence-ranked level map. No moving goalposts.
03 · SCORE
Graded after the close.
Every level is marked HIT / HELD / MISSED / REJECTED / ABSORBED against the session tape. Running hit-rate visible on every archive card. Accuracy-of-record is the product.
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Recent briefs.

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RTY
2026-07-15
RTY's PPI reaction was the weakest of the three families (+0.15% vs ES/NQ's +0.2-0.3%), and session-long DEX/vanna have stayed negative the entire morning without crossing positive - a persistent bearish-leaning Greek signature distinct from SPX/NQ's more constructive builds, reinforcing the user's own excess-high/breakdown read while respecting genuine two-sided rotation risk within the newly-formed lower balance.
BEARISHNEGATIVEPending
NQ
2026-07-15
PPI printed a market-friendly reaction that pushed NQ ~70-90pts through the dominant confluence pin (29929) before the open; today resolves on whether that breakout holds through the first 30 minutes of cash trading or gets reclaimed and rejected back into the pin/HG zone, with NDX-side data quality thinner than SPX's this session.
BULLISHNEGATIVEPending
ES
2026-07-15
PPI printed a market-friendly reaction that pushed ES 15-19pts through the dominant 0DTE pin (7589) before the open; today resolves on whether that breakout holds through the first 30 minutes of cash trading or gets reclaimed and rejected back into the pin/charm-centroid zone.
BULLISHNEGATIVEPending
RTY
2026-07-14
RTY flipped back to positive/dampening 0DTE gamma today (+$32.29M), the only positive-gamma instrument of the three families, with spot pinned essentially on top of the native 0DTE GN (RTY 2965.59) and the day's strongest confluence (RTY 2964.35); expect chop inside the pin through CPI, with RTY likely dampening rather than amplifying a directional CPI move relative to ES/NQ's negative-gamma books today.
NEUTRALPOSITIVEPending
NQ
2026-07-14
NDX/NQ flipped to a thin/mild negative-gamma 0DTE book overnight (-$186.4M) with live spot sitting essentially inside the day's strongest GEX confluence (NQ 29609-29646); CPI prints within the hour, and NQ's vanna map (largest magnet above spot) and charm read (dominant centroid below spot) disagree on direction, arguing for a genuinely two-sided, event-driven session.
NEUTRALNEGATIVEPending
ES
2026-07-14
SPX/ES flipped to a decisively negative-gamma 0DTE book overnight (-$6.99B) with live spot sitting essentially inside the day's strongest GEX confluence (ES 7554-7564); CPI prints within the hour, and the negative-gamma regime means a surprise in either direction has more room to extend than yesterday's positive-gamma session allowed.
NEUTRALNEGATIVEPending
RTY
2026-07-13
RTY sits 17.75pts below a now-clean native 0DTE GN (RTY 3002.75) inside a freshly negative-gamma book (-$18.0M, a regime flip from Friday's balance); expect a test toward the 2994 resistance/antimagnet confluence with real rejection-or-acceleration risk given the negative-gamma regime, rotating toward the 2962-2964 support confluence if rejected.
NEUTRALNEGATIVEPending
NQ
2026-07-13
NDX/NQ sits inside a tight, genuinely bracketing confluence pin (NQ 29762-29793); expect chop within or just outside that bracket toward 29629-29639 (dominant put wall/HG control line) below or 29886 (call wall) above unless a level breaks with volume ahead of tomorrow's CPI.
NEUTRALPOSITIVEPending
ES
2026-07-13
SPX/ES sits 11.8pts below a multi-root 0DTE Gamma Neutral (ES 7610.82) inside a decisively positive-gamma book; expect range/fade behavior between the 7591 near-spot support and the 7620-7621 GEX/vanna confluence resistance unless one side breaks with volume ahead of tomorrow's CPI.
NEUTRALPOSITIVEPending
RTY
2026-07-10
RTY's native 0DTE book is essentially gamma-neutral and spot sits on the book's largest destabilizing vanna force, while the largest stabilizing magnet in the whole book sits inside the chart's own unfinished-auction zone -- a data-corroborated setup for a shallow dip into that zone followed by a rotation back up, matching the operator's own read.
BULLISHNEUTRALPending
NQ
2026-07-10
NDX/NQ flipped into positive 0DTE gamma today but remains well below its own multiday value area, with the thinnest-covered, least-corroborated greek read in this report; the higher-probability path is continued base-building/rotation between the dominant confluence and the thin resistance shelf above, not a clean trend leg.
NEUTRALPOSITIVEPending
ES
2026-07-10
SPX/ES sits in a materially larger positive-gamma book than yesterday, testing the top of a clean multiday balance near its own largest 0DTE vanna magnet; absent a real catalyst, the higher-probability path is range/chop around the balance top rather than a confirmed breakout.
NEUTRALPOSITIVEPending

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OpenGamma Intelligence · 2026Not investment advice · Dealer-flow research only