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Edition · Thursday, April 23, 2026·Archived · 11d ago · historical·23 Apr 2026 13:21 UTC

NQPOSITIVE

Spot26877.00Futures27026.00Basis+149.00SessionREGULAR
Dealer Regime
Positive Gamma - Approach Day Expiration Gravity at 27000-27200
NetGEX $10.5MRisk LOW
Opening Type
OPEN TEST DRIVE
Day NORMAL
Share Card
Accuracy Ledger2 logged · 2 scored50% hit rateFull ledger ↓
Desk Thesis · 2026-04-23

Thursday 0DTE approach day - NDX at 26877 is below the 0DTE GEX pin cluster 27000-27200 by ~123 pts; dominant structural force is extreme charm pull toward 27000; positive Color builds the pin through RTH; primary session objective is test of NDX 27000; 26800 is critical intraday floor; short vanna adds tail risk on vol expansion but suppressed by +10.5M net GEX.

For NDX-NQ the primary session framework is an approach-toward-pin trade. NQ 26949 NDX 26800 is the line - hold it at open and you are a buyer for the approach to NQ 27149 NDX 27000. The charm pull is the strongest of the three instruments: call delta growth at 27000-27200 creates a magnetic pull that builds through RTH. Short vanna is the risk: if NDX loses 26800 with conviction do not buy the first continuation attempt. Above 27000 with conviction the 27100-27200 cluster becomes the intraday pin zone.

Level Map

Confluence-ranked · distances from spot 26877.00
NQ
NDX
Level
Action · Distance
NQ27349.00
NDX27200.00
CALL WALLExtended Call OI Ceiling (NDX 27200)
WATCH+1.20% · conf 0.5
NQ27289.00
NDX27140.00
CALL WALLKey Resistance (NDX 27140)
WATCH+0.97% · conf 1
NQ27249.00
NDX27100.00
DOMINANT ANCHOR0DTE GEX Pin Cluster Top (NDX 27100-27150)
WATCH+0.83% · conf 0.83
NQ27149.00
NDX27000.00
GEX MAGNETPrimary Call Wall - HVL NDX 27000 - Session Target
WATCH+0.46% · conf 1
NQ27129.00
NDX26980.00
VANNA MAGNETGEX Approach Cluster (NDX 26980-26990)
WATCH+0.38% · conf 0.67
NQ26949.00
NDX26800.00
STRUCTURAL FLOORKey Support - Session Floor NDX 26800
WATCH-0.28% · conf 1
SPOT
NQ27026.00
NDX26877.00
live anchor
NQ26749.00
NDX26600.00
PUT WALLMajor Support - Former Resistance NDX 26600
WATCH-1.02% · conf 1
NQ26649.00
NDX26500.00
PUT WALLSnapshot Put Support (NDX 26500)
WATCH-1.39% · conf 0.5
NQ26499.00
NDX26350.00
PUT FLOORKey Support (NDX 26350)
WATCH-1.95% · conf 1
NQ26359.00
NDX26210.00
PUT FLOORDeep Support (NDX 26210)
WATCH-2.47% · conf 1
NQ26219.00
NDX26070.00
STRUCTURAL FLOORDeep Support (NDX 26070)
WATCH-2.99% · conf 1
NQ26049.00
NDX25900.00
STRUCTURAL FLOORDeep Floor (NDX 25900)
WATCH-3.62% · conf 1

Level Reaction

Intraday tape · NQ · 2026-04-23
Loading session tape…

Greek Pressure

Dealer directional forces · next session
GAMMA
UP · 78

Positive gamma +10.5M FRESH. 91% of 0DTE gamma within 2% of spot. Gamma stable at 142.82 throughout 6h pre-market. Prior session peak at NDX 26604; fresh 0DTE peak concentration at 27000-27200. Positive Color +252 means gamma builds and pin tightens throughout RTH.

VANNA
DOWN · 55

SHORT destabilizing vanna - same as RTY, OPPOSITE to SPX. Net VHI -6045, flat and constant. Vol expansion pushes price AWAY from strikes. Key destabilizer at NDX 26604 at -8952. With positive GEX and VIX below 20, effect is suppressed. Monitor for vol expansion.

CHARM
UP · 92

Charm/gamma ratio 2185 - ultra-extreme, highest of the three instruments. Path of least resistance UPWARD. Charm above spot 5.86B is 2.2x charm below spot 2.62B. Top charm growth: NDX 27000 +1.92B, 27200 +652M, 27130 +489M. Time decay is the overwhelming intraday driver.

COLOR
UP · 70

STRONGLY POSITIVE Color - gamma BUILDS throughout RTH, same as SPX, opposite to RTY. The 27000-27200 pin zone tightens progressively. By 3PM the GEX concentration at the call cluster is at maximum.

Higher-Order

Second + third-order greeks
color
LATENT
252.042

speed
LATENT
-0.004

vomma
LATENT
-59.445

zomma
LATENT
4.416

IV Intelligence

Quadrant · skew · term structure
Regime Quadrant
Not captured
ATM IV32.5%
IV Percentile91
Skew Pctile96
Skew ShapeNORMAL
Expected Daily MoveNot captured
Term Structure
Not captured
Term structure not captured for this sessionExpected: ivRegime.termStructure as array of IV fractions per tenor (front/mid/back).

LBF Status

Look-Below-And-Fail · conditions armed
Zomma Armed
Vvix Above100
Short Vanna Regime
Positive Gex Dampens
NOT ARMED · 0/3 conditions
20
Tension Index

Accuracy Log

Outcomes · last 2 levels scored
DateSymbolLevelPredictedOutcomeNotes
2026-04-20NQDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 26831.00FADE_ATHELDHigh print was 26827.00, four points shy of the 26831 anchor. The ceiling held and the contract closed back below at 26774.50.
2026-04-20NQPUT FLOOR@ 26689.00BUY_ON_TESTABSORBEDNQ broke below first support to 26593.75, but the move did not extend to 26499 structural support. The contract recovered and closed 26774.50, so the downside strike occurred but was ultimately absorbed.
Total Logged2
Scored2
Hit Rate50%
Best Level Type

Archive

Recent editions
2026-05-04 · ES
ES at 7255 is pulling back from HOD 7271 (was 6pts from HVL 7277) on European close. Gamma peak at ES 7257 (3x build) provides strong PM pin pressure. Structural binary ES 7249 remains key: above = pin toward 7257-7264 with vanna magnets pulling up; below = anti-magnet cascade (7242→7228) to secondary support 7227 and migrated-down dominant put floor ES 7202 (was 7227 — floor weakened). Call wall at 7277 has STRENGTHENED (+$15.46M). 2DTE +$21.76M structural backstop unchanged. Vanna inverted to bullish configuration (magnets now above spot, anti-magnets below).
IN SESSION EU CLOSE PULLBACK · IRAN SHOCK GLOBEX RECOVERED
NEUTRALNEGATIVE
2026-05-04 · NQ
NQ pulled back sharply from HOD 27940 (within 18 NQ pts of HVL 27958) on European close. Gamma peak has MIGRATED DOWN from 27908 → 27842, creating a new gravitational anchor. Current spot 27863 is 21 NQ pts above the gamma peak. Dominant PM scenario: gravity pull toward gamma peak 27842 and settlement 27840-27880 (6.7x gamma build = strong pin). BEAR RISK: gamma peak 27842 fails → anti-magnet at NQ 27815 (NDX 27697, -18,247) cascades → put wall 27818 → structural floor 27787. EXTREME BEAR: charm 2.16:1 downward pulls toward VOL TRIGGER 27538 = CHARM MAX DECAY ZONE (NDX 27420). Vanna VHI at session minimum (-16,082) amplifies any vol event.
IN SESSION EU CLOSE PULLBACK · IRAN SHOCK GLOBEX RECOVERED NQ OUTPERFORMED
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-05-04 · RTY
RTY is in razor-thin positive gamma (+$333K, 69% thinner than pre-market) sitting on the vanna anti-magnet/magnet corridor at RTY 2811. Session binary is now RTY 2809 (gamma flip, updated from pre-market 2795): above = magnet staircase to 2820-2832; below = negative gamma air pocket to dominant put wall RTY 2797. ES binary (7252) resolution is the directional catalyst. FALLING charm means the morning window is cleaner than the afternoon.
OPEN AUCTION · ATH TEST WITH NEGATIVE CVD DIVERGENCE
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-05-01 · ES
Gate 2 triggered via constructive GEX expansion, not deterioration. ES is rotating inside a stronger positive-gamma cage: hold ES 7275 (SPX 7245) and then ES 7230 (SPX 7200) for continued pin/upper-balance behavior toward ES 7280 and ES 7310. Lose ES 7230 and the repair path opens toward ES 7209.44 and ES 7202.94.
IN SESSION RANGE PIN · BALANCE EXPANSION TO ATH
NEUTRAL_BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-01 · RTY
Gate 2 supersedes the pre-market ATH-continuation bias into an upper-balance pin: RTY must accept above RTY 2807-2808 to reactivate the bull path; below RTY 2797 the auction repairs toward RTY 2792 and RTY 2782.
IN SESSION UPPER BALANCE PIN · FAILED BREAKDOWN THEN FULL BALANCE TRAVERSE
NEUTRAL_BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-01 · NQ
Base case is extended imbalance continuation while NQ holds the 27583-27603 opening shelf and reclaims the 27628 call-wall/HVL; failure below NQ 27539 then 27511 shifts the day from ATH continuation into failed-breakout repair toward 27429 and 27328.
OPEN AUCTION TO DRIVE · BALANCE RETEST AND EXPANSION TO ATH
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-04-30 · ES
Gate 2 triggered (0DTE GEX +273%): morning bear thesis invalidated. ES accepted above the former call wall (ES 7180 / SPX 7150) post-GDP. Bullish continuation thesis: hold above HVL (ES 7175 / SPX 7145) targets 1DTE call wall (ES 7230 / SPX 7200), then squeeze extension (ES 7270 / SPX 7240). Failure below ES 7175 (HVL) → gamma crossover risk toward gamma flip ES 7155 and put wall ES 7130.
POST EVENT CONTINUATION · EVENT BINARY GDP
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-04-30 · NQ
Gate 3 triggered (vanna sign flip SHORT→LONG): morning bear cascade thesis invalidated. NQ accepted above former call wall (NQ 27480 / NDX 27350) post-GDP. Vanna stabilizing = NQ no longer leads cascade. Bullish continuation thesis: hold above former call wall (NQ 27480 / NDX 27350) targets 1DTE call wall (NQ 27630 / NDX 27500), then 6DTE call wall (NQ 27830 / NDX 27700). Failure below NQ 27290 (HVL) reinstates bear path toward gamma flip (NQ 27173) then put wall (NQ 27130).
POST EVENT CONTINUATION · EVENT BINARY GDP
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-04-30 · RTY
PRE-MARKET STRUCTURE INTACT (no gate triggered) — bear prior persists as RTY remains below VAL (2786), below new HVL (2774), and below dominant call wall (2769). Morning unfinished auction at RTY 2753 is being tested LIVE. Post-GDP resolved catalyst, VIX suppression, rising charm drift, and vanna magnets above shift Scenario B probability to 45%. Tape judgment at RTY 2753 governs whether the bear structural prior is replaced.
IN SESSION AUCTION TEST · B SHAPE SERIES
BEARISH_LEANPOSITIVE
OpenGamma Intelligence · Schema v1.0.0This brief is not investment advice.