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Edition · Friday, April 24, 2026·Archived · 10d ago · historical·24 Apr 2026 12:43 UTC

NQPOSITIVE

Spot27137.00Futures27280.00Basis+143.00SessionWEEKLY_EXPIRY
Dealer Regime
Positive Gamma - Q1 Exuberance Gap Up At Primary Resistance
NetGEX $8.3MRisk LOW
Opening Type
OPEN DRIVE UP
Day NEUTRALGAP UP
Share Card
Accuracy Ledger2 logged · 2 scored50% hit rateFull ledger ↓
Desk Thesis · 2026-04-24

NQ 27280 / NDX 27137 gap-up +440 pts to weekly expiry primary resistance NDX 27140 / NQ 27283; Q1 Exuberance regime (IV 91.5th pct, skew 94.9th pct, positive risk reversal +121) confirms aggressive Mag7 call buying; charm path upward with max growth at NDX 27000 / NQ 27143 (HVL); short vanna amplifies directional resolution from this resistance test.

NQ 27280 opened AT primary 6/6 DTE resistance NDX 27140 / NQ 27283. Q1 Exuberance with extreme call skew (94.9th percentile) and positive risk reversal +121 = call buyers have committed aggressively. Break above 27283 targets 27343 then 27543. HVL at 27143 (NDX 27000) is the primary charm magnet and support on any dip - hold above it and the bull case is intact. Multiple NDX tools are stale (~46.8h) - use greeks_breakdown, key_levels, and iv_regime_full as primary signals.

Level Map

Confluence-ranked · distances from spot 27137.00
NQ
NDX
Level
Action · Distance
NQ27543.00
NDX27400.00
CALL WALLExtended Upside / Charm Growth Zone (NDX 27400)
WATCH+0.96% · conf 1
NQ27343.00
NDX27200.00
CALL WALLSecondary Resistance (NDX 27200)
WATCH+0.23% · conf 1
NQ27283.00
NDX27140.00
CALL WALLPRIMARY 6/6 DTE Resistance - Key Discriminator (NDX 27140)
WATCH+0.01% · conf 1
NQ27143.00
NDX27000.00
HVL FLOORHVL + Primary Charm Magnet - Max Upward Charm (NDX 27000)
WATCH-0.50% · conf 1
SPOT
NQ27280.00
NDX27137.00
Range 26423.00–28123.00
NQ26943.00
NDX26800.00
DOMINANT ANCHORGEX Cluster Secondary (NDX 26800)
WATCH-1.24% · conf 1
NQ26843.00
NDX26700.00
DOMINANT ANCHORGEX Peak Concentration - Prior Close Zone (NDX 26700)
WATCH-1.60% · conf 0.83
NQ26743.00
NDX26600.00
CALL WALLCall Wall Anchor - Largest 0DTE Call GEX (NDX 26600)
WATCH-1.97% · conf 1
NQ26493.00
NDX26350.00
PUT WALLPut Support Cluster (NDX 26350)
WATCH-2.88% · conf 1
NQ26213.00
NDX26070.00
PUT WALLDeep Put Support (NDX 26070)
WATCH-3.91% · conf 1
NQ25443.00
NDX25300.00
VOL TRIGGERStructural Confluence / Vol Trigger (NDX 25300)
WATCH-6.73% · conf 1

Level Reaction

Intraday tape · NQ · 2026-04-24
Loading session tape…

Greek Pressure

Dealer directional forces · next session
GAMMA
UP · 72

Positive gamma +8.3M (0DTE, fresh). Call/put GEX ratio 1.61 = call-dominated. GEX peak stable at NDX 26604 (NQ 26747) throughout pre-market - gap cleared this entirely. 75% gamma within 2% of NDX 26782 anchor. Positive gamma above HVL 27000 - dealers dampening moves but call OI wall at 27140 is the primary structure.

VANNA
DOWN · 60

SHORT VANNA (-6046 VHI, stale April 22 data - directional signal only). Destabilizing regime consistent with SPX short vanna reading. Stabilizing zones at NDX 26791/26818 all below live price - gap cleared them. Trending/breakout character amplified. Note: vanna data frozen across 6.5h session window - treat with caution.

CHARM
UP · 75

STALE charm data (46.8h). Path of least resistance UPWARD from April 22 anchor (charm above > charm below). Max charm growth zone: NDX 27000 / NQ 27143 - this is now the HVL support level. Charm/gamma ratio 2185 = time decay utterly dominant. Strongly bullish structural signal: the primary charm upward magnet coincides with key support. Afternoon direction resolution forced by charm decay.

COLOR
UP · 85

STRONGLY POSITIVE Color (+7475, portfolio level) - gamma builds throughout RTH. Expiry pin tightens. Combined with charm/gamma ratio 2185 = maximum expiry-day time decay forces active. Call OI wall at 27140 / HVL at 27000 form the gravitational corridor. Color reinforces the call buyer thesis - expiry gravity pulls toward 27140-27283 zone.

Higher-Order

Second + third-order greeks
color
LATENT
7474.827

speed
LATENT
0.007

vomma
LATENT
-50.684

zomma
LATENT
279.628

IV Intelligence

Quadrant · skew · term structure
Regime Quadrant
Not captured
ATM IV50.0%
IV Percentile92
Skew Pctile95
Skew ShapeNORMAL
Expected Daily MoveNot captured
Term Structure
Not captured
Term structure not captured for this sessionExpected: ivRegime.termStructure as array of IV fractions per tenor (front/mid/back).

LBF Status

Look-Below-And-Fail · conditions armed
Lbf Armed
Gamma Positive
Charm Gamma High
Vix Compressing
NOT ARMED · 0/3 conditions
8
Tension Index

Accuracy Log

Outcomes · last 2 levels scored
DateSymbolLevelPredictedOutcomeNotes
2026-04-20NQDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 26831.00FADE_ATHELDHigh print was 26827.00, four points shy of the 26831 anchor. The ceiling held and the contract closed back below at 26774.50.
2026-04-20NQPUT FLOOR@ 26689.00BUY_ON_TESTABSORBEDNQ broke below first support to 26593.75, but the move did not extend to 26499 structural support. The contract recovered and closed 26774.50, so the downside strike occurred but was ultimately absorbed.
Total Logged2
Scored2
Hit Rate50%
Best Level Type

Archive

Recent editions
2026-05-04 · ES
ES at 7255 is pulling back from HOD 7271 (was 6pts from HVL 7277) on European close. Gamma peak at ES 7257 (3x build) provides strong PM pin pressure. Structural binary ES 7249 remains key: above = pin toward 7257-7264 with vanna magnets pulling up; below = anti-magnet cascade (7242→7228) to secondary support 7227 and migrated-down dominant put floor ES 7202 (was 7227 — floor weakened). Call wall at 7277 has STRENGTHENED (+$15.46M). 2DTE +$21.76M structural backstop unchanged. Vanna inverted to bullish configuration (magnets now above spot, anti-magnets below).
IN SESSION EU CLOSE PULLBACK · IRAN SHOCK GLOBEX RECOVERED
NEUTRALNEGATIVE
2026-05-04 · NQ
NQ pulled back sharply from HOD 27940 (within 18 NQ pts of HVL 27958) on European close. Gamma peak has MIGRATED DOWN from 27908 → 27842, creating a new gravitational anchor. Current spot 27863 is 21 NQ pts above the gamma peak. Dominant PM scenario: gravity pull toward gamma peak 27842 and settlement 27840-27880 (6.7x gamma build = strong pin). BEAR RISK: gamma peak 27842 fails → anti-magnet at NQ 27815 (NDX 27697, -18,247) cascades → put wall 27818 → structural floor 27787. EXTREME BEAR: charm 2.16:1 downward pulls toward VOL TRIGGER 27538 = CHARM MAX DECAY ZONE (NDX 27420). Vanna VHI at session minimum (-16,082) amplifies any vol event.
IN SESSION EU CLOSE PULLBACK · IRAN SHOCK GLOBEX RECOVERED NQ OUTPERFORMED
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-05-04 · RTY
RTY is in razor-thin positive gamma (+$333K, 69% thinner than pre-market) sitting on the vanna anti-magnet/magnet corridor at RTY 2811. Session binary is now RTY 2809 (gamma flip, updated from pre-market 2795): above = magnet staircase to 2820-2832; below = negative gamma air pocket to dominant put wall RTY 2797. ES binary (7252) resolution is the directional catalyst. FALLING charm means the morning window is cleaner than the afternoon.
OPEN AUCTION · ATH TEST WITH NEGATIVE CVD DIVERGENCE
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-05-01 · ES
Gate 2 triggered via constructive GEX expansion, not deterioration. ES is rotating inside a stronger positive-gamma cage: hold ES 7275 (SPX 7245) and then ES 7230 (SPX 7200) for continued pin/upper-balance behavior toward ES 7280 and ES 7310. Lose ES 7230 and the repair path opens toward ES 7209.44 and ES 7202.94.
IN SESSION RANGE PIN · BALANCE EXPANSION TO ATH
NEUTRAL_BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-01 · RTY
Gate 2 supersedes the pre-market ATH-continuation bias into an upper-balance pin: RTY must accept above RTY 2807-2808 to reactivate the bull path; below RTY 2797 the auction repairs toward RTY 2792 and RTY 2782.
IN SESSION UPPER BALANCE PIN · FAILED BREAKDOWN THEN FULL BALANCE TRAVERSE
NEUTRAL_BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-01 · NQ
Base case is extended imbalance continuation while NQ holds the 27583-27603 opening shelf and reclaims the 27628 call-wall/HVL; failure below NQ 27539 then 27511 shifts the day from ATH continuation into failed-breakout repair toward 27429 and 27328.
OPEN AUCTION TO DRIVE · BALANCE RETEST AND EXPANSION TO ATH
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-04-30 · ES
Gate 2 triggered (0DTE GEX +273%): morning bear thesis invalidated. ES accepted above the former call wall (ES 7180 / SPX 7150) post-GDP. Bullish continuation thesis: hold above HVL (ES 7175 / SPX 7145) targets 1DTE call wall (ES 7230 / SPX 7200), then squeeze extension (ES 7270 / SPX 7240). Failure below ES 7175 (HVL) → gamma crossover risk toward gamma flip ES 7155 and put wall ES 7130.
POST EVENT CONTINUATION · EVENT BINARY GDP
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-04-30 · NQ
Gate 3 triggered (vanna sign flip SHORT→LONG): morning bear cascade thesis invalidated. NQ accepted above former call wall (NQ 27480 / NDX 27350) post-GDP. Vanna stabilizing = NQ no longer leads cascade. Bullish continuation thesis: hold above former call wall (NQ 27480 / NDX 27350) targets 1DTE call wall (NQ 27630 / NDX 27500), then 6DTE call wall (NQ 27830 / NDX 27700). Failure below NQ 27290 (HVL) reinstates bear path toward gamma flip (NQ 27173) then put wall (NQ 27130).
POST EVENT CONTINUATION · EVENT BINARY GDP
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-04-30 · RTY
PRE-MARKET STRUCTURE INTACT (no gate triggered) — bear prior persists as RTY remains below VAL (2786), below new HVL (2774), and below dominant call wall (2769). Morning unfinished auction at RTY 2753 is being tested LIVE. Post-GDP resolved catalyst, VIX suppression, rising charm drift, and vanna magnets above shift Scenario B probability to 45%. Tape judgment at RTY 2753 governs whether the bear structural prior is replaced.
IN SESSION AUCTION TEST · B SHAPE SERIES
BEARISH_LEANPOSITIVE
OpenGamma Intelligence · Schema v1.0.0This brief is not investment advice.